Sudden stratospheric warmings

MP Baldwin, B Ayarzagüena, T Birner… - Reviews of …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Sudden stratospheric warmings (SSWs) are impressive fluid dynamical events in which
large and rapid temperature increases in the winter polar stratosphere (∼ 10–50 km) are …

[HTML][HTML] The stratosphere: A review of the dynamics and variability

N Butchart - Weather and Climate Dynamics, 2022 - wcd.copernicus.org
Large-scale, intra-seasonal to inter-annual variability of the stratosphere is reviewed. Much
of the variability is dynamical and induced by waves emanating from the troposphere. It is …

Long-range prediction and the stratosphere

AA Scaife, MP Baldwin, AH Butler… - Atmospheric …, 2022 - acp.copernicus.org
Over recent years there have been concomitant advances in the development of
stratosphere-resolving numerical models, our understanding of stratosphere–troposphere …

The January 2021 sudden stratospheric warming and its prediction in subseasonal to seasonal models

J Rao, CI Garfinkel, T Wu, Y Lu, Q Lu… - Journal of Geophysical …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Using reanalysis, observations, and subseasonal to seasonal (S2S) forecasts, the most
recent sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) in January 2021 and its predictability are …

Arctic ozone loss in March 2020 and its seasonal prediction in CFSv2: A comparative study with the 1997 and 2011 cases

J Rao, CI Garfinkel - Journal of Geophysical Research …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Using reanalysis data, observations, and seasonal forecasts, the March Arctic ozone loss
events in 1997, 2011, and 2020 and their predictability are compared. All of the three ozone …

[HTML][HTML] Mean state of the Northern Hemisphere stratospheric polar vortex in three generations of CMIP models

J Rao, CI Garfinkel, T Wu, Y Lu, M Chu - Journal of Climate, 2022 - journals.ametsoc.org
Progress and persistent biases in the simulation of the stratospheric polar vortex from three
generations of Coupled Model Intercomparison Projects (CMIPs) are assessed. On average …

Role of Madden–Julian Oscillation in predicting the 2020 East Asian summer precipitation in subseasonal-to-seasonal models

J Wie, J Kang, BK Moon - Scientific Reports, 2024 - nature.com
The 2020 summer monsoon season in East Asia was unusually long and intense, and the
Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO) has been proposed as an underlying reason. This study …

Forecast skill assessment of an operational continental heat-cold-health forecasting system: New avenues for health early warning systems

M Quijal-Zamorano, D Petrova, È Martínez-Solanas… - Science …, 2024 - science.org
More than 110,000 Europeans died as a result of the record-breaking temperatures of 2022
and 2023. A new generation of impact-based early warning systems, using epidemiological …

Origins of multi-decadal variability in sudden stratospheric warmings

O Dimdore-Miles, L Gray… - Weather and Climate …, 2020 - wcd.copernicus.org
Sudden Stratospheric Warmings (SSWs) are major disruptions of the Northern Hemisphere
(NH) stratospheric polar vortex and occur on average approximately 6 times per decade in …

A tropical stratopause precursor for sudden stratospheric warmings

N Koushik, KK Kumar, M Pramitha - Scientific Reports, 2022 - nature.com
Dramatic meteorological phenomena in the winter polar stratosphere known as Sudden
Stratospheric Warming (SSW) events are well recognized for their impacts felt across the …