Identification of major sources of uncertainty in current IWRM practice. Illustrated for the Rhine Basin

P Van der Keur, HJ Henriksen, JC Refsgaard… - Water Resources …, 2008 - Springer
Abstract Integrated Water Resources Management (IWRM) can be viewed as a complex
process in which the effect of adopted water management measures must be monitored and …

Dealing with prognostic uncertainty

MBA van Asselt, J Mesman, SA van't Klooster - Futures, 2007 - Elsevier
How do professional futurists contend with prognostic uncertainty? There is an impressive
body of medical–sociological research on how medical staff deals with uncertainty. We have …

The perspectives method: towards socially robust river management

AGE Offermans - 2012 - cris.maastrichtuniversity.nl
River management is the work of human hands and can be shaped in different ways. What
we currently find the best way depends among others on our perspective. This perspective …

Scenario analysis of perspective change to support climate adaptation: lessons from a pilot study on Dutch river management

P Valkering, R Van der Brugge, A Offermans… - Regional Environmental …, 2011 - Springer
Climate adaptation is a complex task surrounded by uncertainty. To support climate
adaptation policies, a new scenario approach is pursued to explore possible discontinuous …

Learning from the past; changing perspectives on river management in the Netherlands

A Offermans, R Cörvers - Environmental Science & Policy, 2012 - Elsevier
Sustainable water management strategies are able to cope with uncertainties in our natural
environment and societal domain. Uncertainties in the societal domain reflect different and …

Challenging futures studies to enhance EU's participatory river basin management

R Van der Helm - Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, Parts A/B/C, 2003 - Elsevier
Can the field of futures studies help advance long-term participatory management of river
basins, which has been prompted by the latest European Water Framework Directive? This …

No longer “bullying the Rhine:” giving narrative a place in flood management

K Baake, C Kaempf - … Communication: A Journal of Nature and …, 2011 - Taylor & Francis
In this paper we explore whether today multiple sources of reasoning are being considered
in the discourse of flood management. We examine whether stakeholders are considered …

Partizipative Modellierung: Erkenntnisse und Erfahrungen aus einer Methodengenese

M Dreyer, W Konrad, D Scheer - Methoden der Experten-und …, 2015 - Springer
Dieser Beitrag widmet sich der partizipativen Modellierung (PM). Als solche fassen wir die
Mitwirkung von gesellschaftlichen Anspruchsgruppen und Wissensträgern bei der …

Learning from the past: the interaction of the social system and the water system in The Netherlands

A Offermans - 2010 - refubium.fu-berlin.de
Sustainable water management strategies are able to cope with uncertainties in our natural
and social environment. Uncertainties in our social environment reflect changing societal …

When and why does haggling occur? Some suggestions from a qualitative but computational simulation of negotiation

B Edmonds, D Hales - Journal of Artificial Societies and Social …, 2004 - ideas.repec.org
We present a computational simulation which captures aspects of negotiation as the
interaction of agents searching for an agreement over their own mental model. Specifically …