Past, present and future perspectives of seasonal prediction of Indian summer monsoon rainfall: A review

MJ Madolli, SK Himanshu, ER Patro… - Asia-Pacific Journal of …, 2022 - Springer
This paper presents a detailed review and discussion on the long-range forecast (LRF) of
Indian summer monsoon rainfall (ISMR), its present status, problems, and perspectives with …

Indian monsoon derailed by a North Atlantic wavetrain

PJ Borah, V Venugopal, J Sukhatme, P Muddebihal… - Science, 2020 - science.org
The forecast of Indian monsoon droughts has been predicated on the notion of a season-
long rainfall deficit linked to a warm equatorial Pacific. Here we show that nearly half of all …

The local and global climate forcings induced inhomogeneity of Indian rainfall

PJ Nair, A Chakraborty, H Varikoden, PA Francis… - Scientific reports, 2018 - nature.com
India is home for more than a billion people and its economy is largely based on agrarian
society. Therefore, rainfall received not only decides its livelihood, but also influences its …

Tropical Pacific modulation of the Asian summer monsoon over the last millennium in paleoclimate data assimilation reconstructions

J Hu, S Dee, G Parajuli… - Journal of Geophysical …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Large uncertainties exist in climate model projections of the Asian summer monsoon (ASM).
The El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is an important modulator of the ASM, but the …

Prediction of the Indian summer monsoon using a stacked autoencoder and ensemble regression model

M Saha, A Santara, P Mitra, A Chakraborty… - International Journal of …, 2021 - Elsevier
The study of climatic variables that govern the Indian summer monsoon has been widely
explored. In this work, we use a non-linear deep learning-based feature reduction scheme …

Forecast skill of the Indian monsoon and its onset in the ECMWF seasonal forecasting system 5 (SEAS5)

A Chevuturi, AG Turner, S Johnson, A Weisheimer… - Climate Dynamics, 2021 - Springer
Accurate forecasting of variations in Indian monsoon precipitation and progression on
seasonal time scales remains a challenge for prediction centres. We examine prediction skill …

Extreme weather and demand for index insurance in rural India

B Bjerge, N Trifkovic - European Review of Agricultural …, 2018 - academic.oup.com
Index insurance appeared recently in developing countries with the expectation to improve
agricultural output and living standards in general. We investigate how experiencing …

An assessment of Indian monsoon seasonal forecasts and mechanisms underlying monsoon interannual variability in the Met Office GloSea5-GC2 system

SJ Johnson, A Turner, S Woolnough, G Martin… - Climate Dynamics, 2017 - Springer
We assess Indian summer monsoon seasonal forecasts in GloSea5-GC2, the Met Office fully
coupled subseasonal to seasonal ensemble forecasting system. Using several metrics …

Statistical evidence for the role of southwestern Indian Ocean heat content in the Indian summer monsoon rainfall

T Venugopal, MM Ali, MA Bourassa, Y Zheng… - Scientific reports, 2018 - nature.com
This study examines the benefit of using Ocean Mean Temperature (OMT) to aid in the
prediction of the sign of Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall (ISMR) anomalies. This is a …

Autoencoder-based identification of predictors of Indian monsoon

M Saha, P Mitra, RS Nanjundiah - Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics, 2016 - Springer
Prediction of Indian summer monsoon uses a number of climatic variables that are
historically known to provide a high skill. However, relationships between predictors and …