Local projections for applied economics

Ò Jordà - Annual Review of Economics, 2023 - annualreviews.org
The dynamic causal effect of an intervention on an outcome is of paramount interest to
applied macro-and microeconomics research. However, this question has been generally …

The transmission of monetary policy shocks

S Miranda-Agrippino, G Ricco - American Economic Journal …, 2021 - aeaweb.org
Commonly used instruments for the identification of monetary policy disturbances are likely
to combine the true policy shock with information about the state of the economy due to the …

[HTML][HTML] Local projections vs. vars: Lessons from thousands of dgps

D Li, M Plagborg-Møller, CK Wolf - Journal of Econometrics, 2024 - Elsevier
We conduct a simulation study of Local Projection (LP) and Vector Autoregression (VAR)
estimators of structural impulse responses across thousands of data generating processes …

Random autoregressive models: A structured overview

M Regis, P Serra, ER van den Heuvel - Econometric Reviews, 2022 - Taylor & Francis
Abstract Models characterized by autoregressive structure and random coefficients are
powerful tools for the analysis of high-frequency, high-dimensional and volatile time series …

Nowcasting with large Bayesian vector autoregressions

J Cimadomo, D Giannone, M Lenza, F Monti… - Journal of …, 2022 - Elsevier
Monitoring economic conditions in real time, or nowcasting, and Big Data analytics share
some challenges, sometimes called the three “Vs”. Indeed, nowcasting is characterized by …

[PDF][PDF] The long-run effects of government spending

J Antolin-Diaz, P Surico - 2022 - repec.cepr.org
Military spending has sizable effects on long-run growth because it shifts the composition of
public spending towards R&D. This boosts innovation and private investment in the medium …

[HTML][HTML] Nowcasting the output gap

T Berger, J Morley, B Wong - Journal of econometrics, 2023 - Elsevier
We propose a way to directly nowcast the output gap using the Beveridge–Nelson
decomposition based on a mixed-frequency Bayesian VAR. The mixed-frequency approach …

Monetary policy and Bitcoin

S Karau - Journal of International Money and Finance, 2023 - Elsevier
I empirically study the impact of monetary policy on Bitcoin, and show that is has evolved
over time. First, based on high-frequency data, the paper documents that Bitcoin prices did …

Bitcoin network mechanics: Forecasting the btc closing price using vector auto-regression models based on endogenous and exogenous feature variables

A Ibrahim, R Kashef, M Li, E Valencia… - Journal of Risk and …, 2020 - mdpi.com
The Bitcoin (BTC) market presents itself as a new unique medium currency, and it is often
hailed as the “currency of the future”. Simulating the BTC market in the price discovery …

The effects of monetary policy on income and wealth inequality in the US Exploring different channels

JF Albert, A Peñalver, A Perez-Bernabeu - Structural Change and Economic …, 2020 - Elsevier
We assess the effects of monetary policy shocks on income and wealth inequality through
direct inequality measures and by analyzing several transmission channels explored in …