History and trends in solar irradiance and PV power forecasting: A preliminary assessment and review using text mining

D Yang, J Kleissl, CA Gueymard, HTC Pedro… - Solar Energy, 2018 - Elsevier
Text mining is an emerging topic that advances the review of academic literature. This paper
presents a preliminary study on how to review solar irradiance and photovoltaic (PV) power …

[HTML][HTML] Pairing ensemble numerical weather prediction with ensemble physical model chain for probabilistic photovoltaic power forecasting

MJ Mayer, D Yang - Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 2023 - Elsevier
Under the two-step framework of photovoltaic (PV) power forecasting, that is, forecasting first
the irradiance and then converting it to PV power, there are two chief ways in which one can …

[HTML][HTML] Diffusion probabilistic modeling for video generation

R Yang, P Srivastava, S Mandt - Entropy, 2023 - mdpi.com
Denoising diffusion probabilistic models are a promising new class of generative models
that mark a milestone in high-quality image generation. This paper showcases their ability to …

[HTML][HTML] Deep learning for twelve hour precipitation forecasts

L Espeholt, S Agrawal, C Sønderby, M Kumar… - Nature …, 2022 - nature.com
Existing weather forecasting models are based on physics and use supercomputers to
evolve the atmosphere into the future. Better physics-based forecasts require improved …

Accurate uncertainties for deep learning using calibrated regression

V Kuleshov, N Fenner, S Ermon - … conference on machine …, 2018 - proceedings.mlr.press
Methods for reasoning under uncertainty are a key building block of accurate and reliable
machine learning systems. Bayesian methods provide a general framework to quantify …

[HTML][HTML] SEAS5: the new ECMWF seasonal forecast system

SJ Johnson, TN Stockdale, L Ferranti… - Geoscientific Model …, 2019 - gmd.copernicus.org
In this paper we describe SEAS5, ECMWF's fifth generation seasonal forecast system, which
became operational in November 2017. Compared to its predecessor, System 4, SEAS5 is a …

A generative deep learning approach to stochastic downscaling of precipitation forecasts

L Harris, ATT McRae, M Chantry… - Journal of Advances …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
Despite continuous improvements, precipitation forecasts are still not as accurate and
reliable as those of other meteorological variables. A major contributing factor to this is that …

Sub‐seasonal forecasting with a large ensemble of deep‐learning weather prediction models

JA Weyn, DR Durran, R Caruana… - Journal of Advances …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
We present an ensemble prediction system using a Deep Learning Weather Prediction
(DLWP) model that recursively predicts six key atmospheric variables with six‐hour time …

[HTML][HTML] Reduced global warming from CMIP6 projections when weighting models by performance and independence

L Brunner, AG Pendergrass, F Lehner… - Earth System …, 2020 - esd.copernicus.org
The sixth Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) constitutes the latest update on
expected future climate change based on a new generation of climate models. To extract …

Recent advances in electricity price forecasting: A review of probabilistic forecasting

J Nowotarski, R Weron - Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 2018 - Elsevier
Since the inception of competitive power markets two decades ago, electricity price
forecasting (EPF) has gradually become a fundamental process for energy companies' …