Statistical inference for rough volatility: Central limit theorems

CH Chong, M Hoffmann, Y Liu… - The Annals of Applied …, 2024 - projecteuclid.org
In recent years, there has been a substantive interest in rough volatility models. In this class
of models, the local behavior of stochastic volatility is much more irregular than …

Convergence of heavy-tailed Hawkes processes and the microstructure of rough volatility

U Horst, W Xu, R Zhang - arXiv preprint arXiv:2312.08784, 2023 - arxiv.org
We establish the weak convergence of the intensity of a nearly-unstable Hawkes process
with heavy-tailed kernel. Our result is used to derive a scaling limit for a financial market …

Estimating the roughness exponent of stochastic volatility from discrete observations of the realized variance

X Han, A Schied - arXiv preprint arXiv:2307.02582, 2023 - arxiv.org
We consider the problem of estimating the roughness of the volatility in a stochastic volatility
model that arises as a nonlinear function of fractional Brownian motion with drift. To this end …

The multivariate fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process

R Dugo, G Giorgio, P Pigato - arXiv preprint arXiv:2408.03051, 2024 - arxiv.org
Starting from the notion of multivariate fractional Brownian Motion introduced in [F.
Lavancier, A. Philippe, and D. Surgailis. Covariance function of vector self-similar processes …

Jump detection in high-frequency order prices

M Bibinger, N Hautsch, A Ristig - arXiv preprint arXiv:2403.00819, 2024 - arxiv.org
We propose methods to infer jumps of a semi-martingale, which describes long-term price
dynamics based on discrete, noisy, high-frequency observations. Different to the classical …

A nonparametric test for rough volatility

CH Chong, V Todorov - arXiv preprint arXiv:2407.10659, 2024 - arxiv.org
We develop a nonparametric test for deciding whether volatility of an asset follows a
standard semimartingale process, with paths of finite quadratic variation, or a rough process …

Two-factor Rough Bergomi Model: American Call Option Pricing and Calibration by Interior Point Optimization Algorithm

A Karimi, F Mehrdoust, M Salahi - Computational Economics, 2024 - Springer
This paper develops the fractional Bergomi model and introduces the two-factor fractional
Bergomi model with Hurst index H∈(0, 1 2). We examine both the existence and stability of …

On the Spectral Density of Fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Process: Approximation, Estimation, and Model Comparison

S Shi, YU Jun, C Zhang - 2023 - ink.library.smu.edu.sg
This paper introduces a novel method for accurately approximating the spectral density of
the discretely-sampled fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (fOU) process. We utilize this …

Functional diffusion driven stochastic volatility model

P Kokoszka, N Mohammadi, H Wang… - arXiv preprint arXiv …, 2023 - arxiv.org
We propose a stochastic volatility model for time series of curves. It is motivated by dynamics
of intraday price curves that exhibit both between days dependence and intraday price …

Probabilistic models and statistics for electronic financial markets in the digital age

M Bibinger - Jahresbericht der Deutschen Mathematiker …, 2024 - Springer
The scope of this manuscript is to review some recent developments in statistics for
discretely observed semimartingales which are motivated by applications for financial …