[HTML][HTML] Evaluation of tieback developments for marginal oil fields with timing flexibility

S Fedorov, V Hagspiel, RWH Rogstad, S Haseldonckx… - Energy Economics, 2024 - Elsevier
The average size of new oil discoveries on the Norwegian Continental Shelf (NCS) is
steadily decreasing. As standalone developments are often not economically viable for …

[HTML][HTML] Mature offshore oil field development: Solving a real options problem using stochastic dual dynamic integer programming

SJ Bakker, A Kleiven, SE Fleten… - Computers & Operations …, 2021 - Elsevier
Oil and gas companies are facing low output prices and are forced to focus on the
development of mature fields. Relevant investment decisions for operators include lifetime …

[HTML][HTML] Sequential production of two oil fields with an option to switch

S Fedorov, MN Amar, V Hagspiel, T Lerdahl - Journal of Petroleum Science …, 2022 - Elsevier
Re-using existing infrastructure has become a standard approach for the development of
marginal offshore oil fields. Many small discoveries are, however, located in remote areas or …

Fuzzy pay-off method for real options: The center of gravity approach with application in oilfield abandonment

REP Borges, MAG Dias, ADD Neto, A Meier - Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 2018 - Elsevier
This paper presents the CoG-FPOM, an adaptation of the Fuzzy Pay-Off Method (FPOM).
The FPOM is a scenario-based real option valuation method that uses fuzzy numbers as …

[HTML][HTML] Real options approach for a staged field development with optional wells

S Fedorov, V Hagspiel, T Lerdahl - Journal of Petroleum Science and …, 2021 - Elsevier
With the decreasing average size of new discoveries in mature production areas, the
uncertainties in the base of oil field investment decisions are continually increasing. Fewer …

[HTML][HTML] A multi-objective decision-making framework for the choice between mutually exclusive alternatives under uncertainty: Assessing the competitiveness of …

D Aghajani, RB Bratvold, V Hagspiel, O Noshchenko… - Energy Economics, 2025 - Elsevier
Due to rising concerns about climate change and anticipated energy demand increase the
Norwegian government advocates for floating offshore wind to decarbonize its oil and gas …

Sequential exploration: valuation with geological dependencies and uncertain oil prices

B Jafarizadeh, R Bratvold - SPE Journal, 2020 - onepetro.org
When exploring nearby prospects in a common area, the outcome of drilling a well can
change the chance of success in nearby prospects, affecting their economics and drilling …

Oil and gas exploration valuation and the value of waiting

B Jafarizadeh, RB Bratvold - The Engineering Economist, 2015 - Taylor & Francis
The timing flexibility of investments in oil and gas assets can potentially add value. In this
article, we examine the value of waiting in exploration projects and propose a real option …

Risk premia in commodity price forecasts and their impact on valuation

WJ Hahn, JA DiLellio, JS Dyer - Energy Economics, 2018 - Elsevier
Commodity price driven valuation models require a stochastic price input if the value of
managerial flexibility, such as the option to defer investment until the optimal time and the …

An exposition of least square Monte Carlo approach for real options valuation

R Ahmadi, RB Bratvold - Geoenergy Science and Engineering, 2023 - Elsevier
Abstract The least square Monte Carlo simulation (LSM) approach is a state-of-the-art
approach built upon approximate dynamic programming for the selection of single or …