A reassessment of monetary policy surprises and high-frequency identification
MD Bauer, ET Swanson - NBER Macroeconomics Annual, 2023 - journals.uchicago.edu
Over the past two decades, high-frequency interest rate changes around the Federal
Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announcements, or monetary policy …
Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announcements, or monetary policy …
Measuring the effects of federal reserve forward guidance and asset purchases on financial markets
ET Swanson - Journal of Monetary Economics, 2021 - Elsevier
The methods of Gürkaynak et al.(2005a) are extended to separately identify surprise
changes in the federal funds rate, forward guidance, and large-scale asset purchases …
changes in the federal funds rate, forward guidance, and large-scale asset purchases …
Risk, uncertainty and monetary policy
The VIX, the stock market option-based implied volatility, strongly co-moves with measures
of the monetary policy stance. When decomposing the VIX into two components, a proxy for …
of the monetary policy stance. When decomposing the VIX into two components, a proxy for …
An alternative explanation for the “fed information effect”
MD Bauer, ET Swanson - American Economic Review, 2023 - aeaweb.org
Regressions of private-sector macroeconomic forecast revisions on monetary policy
surprises often produce coefficients with signs opposite to standard macroeconomic models …
surprises often produce coefficients with signs opposite to standard macroeconomic models …
The effects of monetary policy on stock market bubbles: Some evidence
J Galí, L Gambetti - American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2015 - pubs.aeaweb.org
We estimate the response of stock prices to monetary policy shocks using a time-varying
coefficients VAR. Our evidence points to protracted episodes in which stock prices end up …
coefficients VAR. Our evidence points to protracted episodes in which stock prices end up …
Monetary policy matters: Evidence from new shocks data
SM Barakchian, C Crowe - Journal of Monetary Economics, 2013 - Elsevier
The evidence suggests that monetary policy post 1988 became more forward-looking,
invalidating the identifying assumptions in conventional methods of measuring monetary …
invalidating the identifying assumptions in conventional methods of measuring monetary …
The Fed's response to economic news explains the" Fed information effect"
MD Bauer, ET Swanson - 2021 - econstor.eu
High-frequency changes in interest rates around FOMC announcements are a standard
method of measuring monetary policy shocks. However, some recent studies have …
method of measuring monetary policy shocks. However, some recent studies have …
Structural vector autoregressions
L Kilian - Handbook of research methods and applications in …, 2013 - elgaronline.com
Notwithstanding the increased use of estimated dynamic stochastic general equilibrium
(DSGE) models over the last decade, structural vector autoregressive (VAR) models …
(DSGE) models over the last decade, structural vector autoregressive (VAR) models …
Central bank communication and the yield curve
In this paper, we argue that monetary policy in the form of central bank communication can
shape long-term interest rates by changing risk premia. Using high-frequency movements of …
shape long-term interest rates by changing risk premia. Using high-frequency movements of …
Stock market's assessment of monetary policy transmission: The cash flow effect
R Gürkaynak, HG Karasoy‐Can… - The Journal of Finance, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
We show that firm liability structure and associated cash flows matter for firm behavior and
that financial market participants price stocks accordingly. Stock price reactions to monetary …
that financial market participants price stocks accordingly. Stock price reactions to monetary …