Learning to forecast and cyclical behavior of output and inflation

K Adam - Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2005 - cambridge.org
This paper considers a sticky price model with a cash-in-advance constraint where agents
forecast inflation rates with the help of econometric models. Agents use least-squares …

[PDF][PDF] Adaptive learning and business cycles

N Williams - Manuscript, Princeton University, 2003 - researchgate.net
This paper analyzes the quantitative importance of adaptive learning in business cycle
fluctuations. We first introduce adaptive learning in a real business cycle model and a New …

Instability of sunspot equilibria in real business cycle models under adaptive learning

J Duffy, W Xiao - Journal of Monetary Economics, 2007 - Elsevier
We provide conditions under which a general, reduced-form class of real business cycle
(RBC) models has rational expectations equilibria that are both indeterminate and stable …

Learning and structural change in macroeconomic data

J Bullard, J Duffy - FRB of St. Louis Working Paper No, 2004 - papers.ssrn.com
We include learning in a standard equilibrium business cycle model with explicit growth. We
use the model to study how the economy's agents could learn in real time about the …

Adaptive learning and distributional dynamics in an incomplete markets model

A Giusto - Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2014 - Elsevier
Recent research shows that several DSGE models provide a closer fit to the data under
adaptive learning. This paper extends this research by introducing adaptive learning in the …

Indeterminacy and the stability puzzle in non-convex economies

GW Evans, B McGough - Topics in Macroeconomics, 2005 - degruyter.com
We examine stability under learning of sunspot equilibria in Real Business Cycle type
models with indeterminacies. Our analysis emphasizes the importance of examining …

Indeterminacy, sunspots, and development traps

S Slobodyan - Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2005 - Elsevier
We consider the effects of global sunspot fluctuations in a growth model with externalities,
where the Pareto-inferior steady state (poverty trap) is indeterminate. A global (not restricted …

On the plausibility of sunspot equilibria

M Weder - Research in Economics, 2003 - Elsevier
This paper presents a one-sector business cycle model with variable capacity utilization and
externalities that stem from aggregate economic activity. It uses a new formulation of the …

[图书][B] Essays on Information Frictions and Liquidity in Macroeconomics

C Zhang - 2013 - search.proquest.com
My research studies the interaction between information frictions and liquidity in
macroeconomies. In particular, I consider dynamic environments characterized by two key …

[PDF][PDF] Adaptive Learning In An Incomplete-Markets Model

A Giusto - 2012 - frbsf.org
Recent research shows that several DSGE models provide a closer fit to the data under
adaptive learning. This paper extends this research by introducing adaptive learning in the …