Modeling and forecasting exchange rate volatility in time-frequency domain

J Barunik, T Krehlik, L Vacha - European Journal of Operational Research, 2016 - Elsevier
This paper proposes an enhanced approach to modeling and forecasting volatility using
high frequency data. Using a forecasting model based on Realized GARCH with multiple …

[PDF][PDF] Does Predictive Ability of an Asset Price Rest in'Memory'? Insights from a New Approach

M Chikhi, C Diebolt, T Mishra - 2019 - beta.u-strasbg.fr
Despite an inherent share of unpredictability, asset prices such as in stock and Bitcoin
markets are naturally driven by significant magnitudes of memory; depending on the …

[PDF][PDF] Memory that Drives! New Insights into Forecasting Performance of Stock Prices from SEMIFARMA-AEGAS Model

M Chikhi, C Diebolt, T Mishra - 2019 - beta.u-strasbg.fr
Stock price forecasting, a popular growth-enhancing exercise for investors, is inherently
complex–thanks to the interplay of financial economic drivers which determine both the …

[PDF][PDF] FinMaP-Working Paper No. 55

J Barunik, T Krehlik, L Vacha - 2016 - finmap.uni-kiel.de
We propose a general framework for measuring frequency dynamics of connectedness in
economic variables based on spectral representation of variance decompositions. We argue …