Echo chambers and their effects on economic and political outcomes
In this review, we survey the economics literature on echo chambers. We identify echo
chambers as arising from a combination of two phenomena:(a) the choice of individuals to …
chambers as arising from a combination of two phenomena:(a) the choice of individuals to …
Persuasion with correlation neglect: a full manipulation result
We consider an information design problem in which a sender tries to persuade a receiver
that has “correlation neglect,” ie, fails to understand that signals might be correlated. We …
that has “correlation neglect,” ie, fails to understand that signals might be correlated. We …
Algorithmic robust forecast aggregation
Forecast aggregation combines the predictions of multiple forecasters to improve accuracy.
However, the lack of knowledge about forecasters' information structure hinders optimal …
However, the lack of knowledge about forecasters' information structure hinders optimal …
[PDF][PDF] Tailored stories
C Aina - 2023 - chiaraaina.github.io
I study the problem of a persuader who proposes a set of models to manipulate how a
boundedly rational agent interprets observable signal realizations. The persuader does not …
boundedly rational agent interprets observable signal realizations. The persuader does not …
[PDF][PDF] Adversarial bilateral information design
G Ziegler - 2020 - qmul.ac.uk
Abstract Information provision is a significant component of business-to-business interaction.
Furthermore, the provision of information is often conducted bilaterally. This precludes the …
Furthermore, the provision of information is often conducted bilaterally. This precludes the …
Are you smarter than a random expert? The robust aggregation of substitutable signals
E Neyman, T Roughgarden - Proceedings of the 23rd ACM Conference …, 2022 - dl.acm.org
The problem of aggregating expert forecasts is ubiquitous in fields as wide-ranging as
machine learning, economics, climate science, and national security. Despite this, our …
machine learning, economics, climate science, and national security. Despite this, our …
Robust merging of information
When multiple sources of information are available, any decision must take into account
their correlation. If information about this correlation is lacking, an agent may find it desirable …
their correlation. If information about this correlation is lacking, an agent may find it desirable …
Robust decision aggregation with second-order information
We consider a decision aggregation problem with two experts who each make a binary
recommendation after observing a private signal about an unknown binary world state. An …
recommendation after observing a private signal about an unknown binary world state. An …
Belief formation under signal correlation
This paper demonstrates the importance of considering incorrect perceptions of variance in
characterizing people's belief formation rules when they suffer from correlation neglect …
characterizing people's belief formation rules when they suffer from correlation neglect …
Peer Expectation in Robust Forecast Aggregation: The Possibility/Impossibility
Y Kong - arXiv preprint arXiv:2402.06062, 2024 - arxiv.org
Recently a growing literature study a new forecast aggregation setting where each
forecaster is additionally asked``what's your expectation for the average of other forecasters' …
forecaster is additionally asked``what's your expectation for the average of other forecasters' …