Future global climate: scenario-based projections and near-term information
This chapter assesses simulations of future global climate change, spanning time horizons
from the near term (2021–2040), mid-term (2041–2060), and long term (2081–2100) out to …
from the near term (2021–2040), mid-term (2041–2060), and long term (2081–2100) out to …
[HTML][HTML] Climate model projections from the scenario model intercomparison project (ScenarioMIP) of CMIP6
Abstract The Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) defines and
coordinates the main set of future climate projections, based on concentration-driven …
coordinates the main set of future climate projections, based on concentration-driven …
[HTML][HTML] Ubiquity of human-induced changes in climate variability
KB Rodgers, SS Lee, N Rosenbloom… - Earth System …, 2021 - esd.copernicus.org
While climate change mitigation targets necessarily concern maximum mean state changes,
understanding impacts and developing adaptation strategies will be largely contingent on …
understanding impacts and developing adaptation strategies will be largely contingent on …
[HTML][HTML] Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple large ensembles and CMIP5/6
Partitioning uncertainty in projections of future climate change into contributions from
internal variability, model response uncertainty and emissions scenarios has historically …
internal variability, model response uncertainty and emissions scenarios has historically …
The importance of internal climate variability in climate impact projections
K Schwarzwald, N Lenssen - Proceedings of the National …, 2022 - National Acad Sciences
Uncertainty in climate projections is driven by three components: scenario uncertainty,
intermodel uncertainty, and internal variability. Although socioeconomic climate impact …
intermodel uncertainty, and internal variability. Although socioeconomic climate impact …
Large ensemble climate model simulations: introduction, overview, and future prospects for utilising multiple types of large ensemble
Single model initial-condition large ensembles (SMILEs) are valuable tools that can be used
to investigate the climate system. SMILEs allow scientists to quantify and separate the …
to investigate the climate system. SMILEs allow scientists to quantify and separate the …
Applications of large deviation theory in geophysical fluid dynamics and climate science
The climate is a complex, chaotic system with many degrees of freedom. Attaining a deeper
level of understanding of climate dynamics is an urgent scientific challenge, given the …
level of understanding of climate dynamics is an urgent scientific challenge, given the …
Overview of the advances in understanding chaos in low-dimensional dynamical systems subjected to parameter drift: Parallel dynamical evolutions and” climate …
This paper offers a review while also studying yet unexplored features of the area of chaotic
systems subjected to parameter drift of non-negligible rate, an area where the methods of …
systems subjected to parameter drift of non-negligible rate, an area where the methods of …
[HTML][HTML] Isolating the evolving contributions of anthropogenic aerosols and greenhouse gases: A new CESM1 large ensemble community resource
Isolating the Evolving Contributions of Anthropogenic Aerosols and Greenhouse Gases: A New
CESM1 Large Ensemble Community Resource in: Journal of Climate Volume 33 Issue 18 …
CESM1 Large Ensemble Community Resource in: Journal of Climate Volume 33 Issue 18 …
Changes in precipitation variability across time scales in multiple global climate model large ensembles
Anthropogenic changes in the variability of precipitation stand to impact both natural and
human systems in profound ways. Precipitation variability encompasses not only extremes …
human systems in profound ways. Precipitation variability encompasses not only extremes …