Comparing stochastic volatility specifications for large Bayesian VARs

JCC Chan - Journal of Econometrics, 2023 - Elsevier
Large Bayesian vector autoregressions with various forms of stochastic volatility have
become increasingly popular in empirical macroeconomics. One main difficulty for …

Variational Bayes approximation of factor stochastic volatility models

D Gunawan, R Kohn, D Nott - International Journal of Forecasting, 2021 - Elsevier
Estimation and prediction in high dimensional multivariate factor stochastic volatility models
is an important and active research area, because such models allow a parsimonious …

Maximum likelihood recursive state estimation using the expectation maximization algorithm

MS Ramadan, RR Bitmead - Automatica, 2022 - Elsevier
A Maximum Likelihood recursive state estimator is derived for non-linear state–space
models. The estimator iteratively combines a particle filter to generate the predicted/filtered …

[HTML][HTML] Financial markets and legal challenges to unconventional monetary policy

S Griller, F Huber, M Pfarrhofer - European Economic Review, 2024 - Elsevier
This paper studies the empirical effects of legal challenges to monetary policy. Several
policy measures of the European Central Bank have come under scrutiny before national …

Parallel Bayesian inference for high-dimensional dynamic factor copulas

H Nguyen, MC Ausín, P Galeano - Journal of Financial …, 2019 - academic.oup.com
To account for asymmetric dependence in extreme events, we propose a dynamic
generalized hyperbolic skew Student-t factor copula where the factor loadings follow …

Stochastic volatility models with skewness selection

I Martins, H Freitas Lopes - Entropy, 2024 - mdpi.com
This paper expands traditional stochastic volatility models by allowing for time-varying
skewness without imposing it. While dynamic asymmetry may capture the likely direction of …

Bayesian Dynamic Factor Models for High-dimensional Matrix-valued Time Series

W Zhang - arXiv preprint arXiv:2409.08354, 2024 - arxiv.org
High-dimensional matrix-valued time series are of significant interest in economics and
finance, with prominent examples including cross region macroeconomic panels and firms' …

Variational approximation of factor stochastic volatility models

D Gunawan, R Kohn, D Nott - arXiv preprint arXiv:2010.06738, 2020 - arxiv.org
Estimation and prediction in high dimensional multivariate factor stochastic volatility models
is an important and active research area because such models allow a parsimonious …

Exploring the principal factors driving the volatility structure of stock trade levels in New Zealand: a Covid-19 perspective

S Madaree - New Zealand Economic Papers, 2024 - Taylor & Francis
This paper explores factors that drive the volatility structure of New Zealand stock trade
levels, with the aim of understanding unusual volatility of stock trade levels that may pose a …

Skew selection for factor stochastic volatility models

J Nakajima - Journal of Applied Statistics, 2020 - Taylor & Francis
This paper proposes factor stochastic volatility models with skew error distributions. The
generalized hyperbolic skew t-distribution is employed for common-factor processes and …