For better or worse? revenue forecasting with machine learning approaches

IH Chung, DW Williams, MR Do - Public Performance & …, 2022 - Taylor & Francis
The recent rapid development of artificial intelligence (AI) is expected to transform how
governments work by enhancing the quality of decision-making. Despite rising expectations …

The status of budget forecasting

DW Williams, TD Calabrese - Journal of Public and Nonprofit Affairs, 2016 - jpna.org
This article examines the breadth of the current forecast literature as it relates to public
budget making. It serves to provide summary information to decision-makers who otherwise …

Regional government revenue forecasting: Risk factors of investment financing

B Batóg, J Batóg - Risks, 2021 - mdpi.com
Accurate revenue prediction is a key factor for the reliable determination of the investment
part of entire regional and local budgets, particularly during economic downturns and fiscal …

Forecast bias and fiscal slack accumulation in school districts

N Barrett, J Fowles, P Jones… - The American Review of …, 2019 - journals.sagepub.com
The years during and after the Great Recession constrained revenue across all levels of
government. Revenue shortfalls in states decreased intergovernmental transfers, which …

[图书][B] Tools for decision making: A practical guide for local government

DN Ammons, DJ Roenigk - 2021 - taylorfrancis.com
This book guides readers to the mastery of a wide array of practical analytic techniques
useful to local governments. Written in an easy-to-read style with an emphasis on providing …

Assessing local government revenue forecasting techniques

CG Reddick - International Journal of Public Administration, 2004 - Taylor & Francis
This article assesses revenue forecasting techniques that could be used by local
governments. This study is most interested in discerning the extent of use of the causal …

An open systems model of local government forecasting

V Reitano - The American Review of Public Administration, 2018 - journals.sagepub.com
Local governments use single source forecasts to inform decision making, which can
constrain their ability to prepare for and respond to financial uncertainty. This unique context …

Local government revenue forecasting methods: Competition and comparison

DW Williams, SC Kavanagh - Journal of Public Budgeting, Accounting …, 2016 - emerald.com
This study examines forecast accuracy associated with the forecast of 55 revenue data
series of 18 local governments. The last 18 months (6 quarters; or 2 years) of the data are …

Determinants of local government revenue forecasting practice: Empirical evidence from Florida

HA Frank, Y Zhao - Journal of public budgeting, accounting & financial …, 2009 - emerald.com
Two decades of research on municipal forecasting practice suggest that it is less advanced
than other sectors. Moreover, local forecasters have a greater error tolerance than peers …

[PDF][PDF] An introduction to state and local public finance

TA Garrett, JC Leatherman - 2020 - researchrepository.wvu.edu
The Web Book of Regional Science is offered as a service to the regional research
community in an effort to make a wide range of reference and instructional materials freely …