Accelerated failure time models: an application in insurance attrition

AF Majeed - The Journal of Risk Management and Insurance, 2020 - univ-pau.hal.science
Despite the seeming power of survival analysis over popular binary models in insurance
attrition analysis, its consideration is now growing in the literature. Besides, studies have …

Grouping of contracts in insurance using neural networks

M Kiermayer, C Weiß - Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, 2021 - Taylor & Francis
Despite the high importance of grouping in practice, there exists little research on the
respective topic. The present work presents a framework for grouping and a novel method to …

The determinants of lapse rates in the Italian life insurance market

E Barucci, T Colozza, D Marazzina, E Rroji - European Actuarial Journal, 2020 - Springer
We investigate the drivers of lapses in life insurance contracts of a large Italian insurance
company. We consider both traditional (with profit or participating) and unit-linked policies …

Including individual Customer Lifetime Value and competing risks in tree-based lapse management strategies

M Valla, X Milhaud, A Olympio - European Actuarial Journal, 2024 - Springer
A retention strategy based on an enlightened lapse model is a powerful profitability lever for
a life insurer. Some machine learning models are excellent at predicting lapse, but from the …

Modeling surrender risk in life insurance: theoretical and experimental insight

M Kiermayer - Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, 2022 - Taylor & Francis
Surrender poses one of the major risks to life insurance and a sound modeling of its true
probability has direct implication on the risk capital demanded by the Solvency II directive …

A Model for Risk Adjustment (IFRS 17) for Surrender Risk in Life Insurance

M Carlehed - Risks, 2023 - mdpi.com
We propose a model for risk adjustment, in the context of IFRS 17, for surrender risk.
Surrender rates are assumed to follow a stochastic process, underpinned by data. The …

On the cost of risk misspecification in insurance pricing

D Finger, H Albrecher, L Wilhelmy - … Journal of Statistics and Data Science, 2024 - Springer
In the non-life insurance industry, pricing is often done relative to individual criteria of
policyholders. Various classification algorithms are in use to categorize policyholders into …

Identifying the determinants of lapse rates in life insurance: an automated Lasso approach

L Reck, J Schupp, A Reuß - European Actuarial Journal, 2023 - Springer
Lapse risk is a key risk driver for life and pensions business with a material impact on the
cash flow profile and the profitability. The application of data science methods can replace …

[HTML][HTML] A Dirichlet process mixture regression model for the analysis of competing risk events

F Ungolo, ER van den Heuvel - Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 2024 - Elsevier
We develop a regression model for the analysis of competing risk events. The joint
distribution of the time to these events is flexibly characterized by a random effect which …

Accelerated Failure Time Models:: An Application in Insurance Attrition

M Abdul-Fatawu - The Journal of Risk Management and Insurance, 2020 - jrmi.au.edu
Despite the seeming power of survival analysis over popular binary models in insurance
attrition analysis, its consideration is now growing in the literature. Besides, studies have …