Development of a national 7-day ensemble streamflow forecasting service for Australia

HAP Hapuarachchi, MA Bari, A Kabir… - Hydrology and Earth …, 2022 - hess.copernicus.org
Reliable streamflow forecasts with associated uncertainty estimates are essential to manage
and make better use of Australia's scarce surface water resources. Here we present the …

[HTML][HTML] Developing a global operational seasonal hydro-meteorological forecasting system: GloFAS-Seasonal v1. 0

R Emerton, E Zsoter, L Arnal, HL Cloke… - Geoscientific Model …, 2018 - gmd.copernicus.org
Global overviews of upcoming flood and drought events are key for many applications,
including disaster risk reduction initiatives. Seasonal forecasts are designed to provide early …

Daily ensemble river discharge reforecasts and real-time forecasts from the operational Global Flood Awareness System

S Harrigan, E Zoster, H Cloke… - Hydrology and Earth …, 2020 - hess.copernicus.org
Operational global-scale hydrological forecasting systems are widely used to help manage
hydrological extremes such as floods and droughts. The vast amounts of raw data that …

Accounting for three sources of uncertainty in ensemble hydrological forecasting

A Thiboult, F Anctil, MA Boucher - Hydrology and Earth System …, 2016 - hess.copernicus.org
Seeking more accuracy and reliability, the hydrometeorological community has developed
several tools to decipher the different sources of uncertainty in relevant modeling processes …

An intercomparison of approaches for improving operational seasonal streamflow forecasts

PA Mendoza, AW Wood, E Clark… - Hydrology and Earth …, 2017 - hess.copernicus.org
For much of the last century, forecasting centers around the world have offered seasonal
streamflow predictions to support water management. Recent work suggests that the two …

Evaluating post-processing approaches for monthly and seasonal streamflow forecasts

F Woldemeskel, D McInerney, J Lerat… - Hydrology and Earth …, 2018 - hess.copernicus.org
Streamflow forecasting is prone to substantial uncertainty due to errors in meteorological
forecasts, hydrological model structure, and parameterization, as well as in the observed …

On the need for physical constraints in deep learning rainfall–runoff projections under climate change: a sensitivity analysis to warming and shifts in potential …

S Wi, S Steinschneider - Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 2024 - hess.copernicus.org
Deep learning (DL) rainfall–runoff models outperform conceptual, process-based models in
a range of applications. However, it remains unclear whether DL models can produce …

Ensemble reconstruction of spatio-temporal extreme low-flow events in France since 1871

L Caillouet, JP Vidal, E Sauquet… - Hydrology and Earth …, 2017 - hess.copernicus.org
The length of streamflow observations is generally limited to the last 50 years even in data-
rich countries like France. It therefore offers too small a sample of extreme low-flow events to …

Error reduction and representation in stages (ERRIS) in hydrological modelling for ensemble streamflow forecasting

M Li, QJ Wang, JC Bennett… - Hydrology and Earth …, 2016 - hess.copernicus.org
This study develops a new error modelling method for ensemble short-term and real-time
streamflow forecasting, called error reduction and representation in stages (ERRIS). The …

HESS Opinions" Forecaster priorities for improving probabilistic flood forecasts"

F Wetterhall, F Pappenberger, L Alfieri… - Hydrology and Earth …, 2013 - hess.copernicus.org
Hydrological ensemble prediction systems (HEPS) have in recent years been increasingly
used for the operational forecasting of floods by European hydrometeorological agencies …