Nonlinear El Niño impacts on the global economy under climate change

Y Liu, W Cai, X Lin, Z Li, Y Zhang - Nature Communications, 2023 - nature.com
Abstract The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a consequential climate phenomenon
affecting global extreme weather events often with largescale socioeconomic impacts. To …

Hysteresis of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation to CO2 forcing

C Liu, SI An, FF Jin, J Shin, JS Kug, W Zhang… - Science …, 2023 - science.org
El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the strongest interannual climate variability with far-
reaching socioeconomic consequences. Many studies have investigated ENSO-projected …

The climate variability trio: stochastic fluctuations, El Niño, and the seasonal cycle

MF Stuecker - Geoscience Letters, 2023 - Springer
Climate variability has distinct spatial patterns with the strongest signal of sea surface
temperature (SST) variance residing in the tropical Pacific. This interannual climate …

How to improve global environmental governance? Lessons learned from climate risk and climate policy uncertainty

Y Sun, Y Song, C Long, M Qin, OR Lobonţ - Economic Analysis and Policy, 2023 - Elsevier
Investigating the conduction mechanism between climate risk and climate policy uncertainty
is crucial to enhance global environmental governance. The analysis uses the full-and sub …

[HTML][HTML] Climate pattern effects on global economic conditions

G Dufrénot, W Ginn, M Pourroy - Economic Modelling, 2024 - Elsevier
This study investigates how El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) climate patterns affect
global economic conditions. Prior research suggests that ENSO phases, particularly El Niño …

Seasonal forecasts of the world's coastal waterline: what to expect from the coming El Niño?

J Boucharel, R Almar, B Dewitte - npj climate and atmospheric science, 2024 - nature.com
The central-eastern tropical Pacific is currently significantly warmer than normal, and the
likelihood of a strong El Niño developing by early 2024 is 75–85%, according to the National …

[HTML][HTML] Historical and Future Asymmetry of ENSO Teleconnections with Extremes

R Lieber, J Brown, A King, M Freund - Journal of Climate, 2024 - journals.ametsoc.org
Abstract El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the dominant source of climate variability
globally. Many of the most devastating impacts of ENSO are felt through extremes. Here, we …

Nonlinear country-heterogenous impact of the Indian Ocean Dipole on global economies

W Cai, Y Liu, X Lin, Z Li, Y Zhang, D Newth - Nature Communications, 2024 - nature.com
Abstract A positive Indian Ocean Dipole features an anomalously high west-minus-east sea
surface temperature gradient along the equatorial Indian Ocean, affecting global extreme …

Financial markets value skillful forecasts of seasonal climate

D Lemoine, S Kapnick - Nature Communications, 2024 - nature.com
Scientific agencies spend substantial sums producing and improving forecasts of seasonal
climate, but they do so without much information about these forecasts' value in practice …

Unsupervised multi-scale diagnostics

K Lapo, SM Ichinaga, N Kutz - arXiv preprint arXiv:2408.02396, 2024 - arxiv.org
The unsupervised and principled diagnosis of multi-scale data is a fundamental obstacle in
modern scientific problems from, for instance, weather and climate prediction, neurology …