Behavioral and experimental macroeconomics and policy analysis: A complex systems approach
C Hommes - Journal of Economic Literature, 2021 - aeaweb.org
This survey discusses behavioral and experimental macroeconomics, emphasizing a
complex systems perspective. The economy consists of boundedly rational heterogeneous …
complex systems perspective. The economy consists of boundedly rational heterogeneous …
Expectation formation in finance and macroeconomics: A review of new experimental evidence
This paper reviews the recent development and new findings of the literature on learning-to-
forecast experiments (LtFEs). In general, the stylized finding in the typical LtFEs, namely the …
forecast experiments (LtFEs). In general, the stylized finding in the typical LtFEs, namely the …
Central bank communication that works: Lessons from lab experiments
O Kryvtsov, L Petersen - Journal of Monetary Economics, 2021 - Elsevier
The causal effects of central bank communication on economic expectations and their
underlying mechanisms are tested in controlled laboratory experiments. We find that central …
underlying mechanisms are tested in controlled laboratory experiments. We find that central …
[HTML][HTML] Monetary policy under behavioral expectations: Theory and experiment
Expectations play a crucial role in modern macroeconomic models. We consider a New
Keynesian framework under a behavioral model of expectation formation and under rational …
Keynesian framework under a behavioral model of expectation formation and under rational …
Information frictions across various types of inflation expectations
Understanding how the degree of information frictions varies among economic agents is of
utmost importance for macroeconomic dynamics. We document and compare the frequency …
utmost importance for macroeconomic dynamics. We document and compare the frequency …
Should central banks communicate uncertainty in their projections?
R Rholes, L Petersen - Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 2021 - Elsevier
This paper provides original empirical evidence on the emerging practice by central banks
of communicating uncertainty in their inflation projections. We compare the effects of point …
of communicating uncertainty in their inflation projections. We compare the effects of point …
[HTML][HTML] The behavioral economics of currency unions: Economic integration and monetary policy
We analyze different behavioral models of expectation formation in a multi-country New
Keynesian currency union model. Our analyses yield the following robust results. First …
Keynesian currency union model. Our analyses yield the following robust results. First …
Coordinating expectations through central bank projections
F Mokhtarzadeh, L Petersen - Experimental economics, 2021 - Springer
Central banks are increasingly communicating their economic outlook in an effort to manage
the public and financial market participants' expectations. We provide original causal …
the public and financial market participants' expectations. We provide original causal …
Monetary policy rules in a non-rational world: A macroeconomic experiment
F Mauersberger - Journal of Economic Theory, 2021 - Elsevier
This paper introduces a learning-to-forecast laboratory experiment based on a New-
Keynesian macroeconomy that is particularly close to the model's microfoundations. In this …
Keynesian macroeconomy that is particularly close to the model's microfoundations. In this …
The stabilizing effects of publishing strategic central bank projections
S Ahrens, J Lustenhouwer… - Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2023 - cambridge.org
Expectations are among the main driving forces for economic dynamics. Therefore,
managing expectations has become a primary objective for monetary policy seeking to …
managing expectations has become a primary objective for monetary policy seeking to …