Behavioral and experimental macroeconomics and policy analysis: A complex systems approach

C Hommes - Journal of Economic Literature, 2021 - aeaweb.org
This survey discusses behavioral and experimental macroeconomics, emphasizing a
complex systems perspective. The economy consists of boundedly rational heterogeneous …

Expectation formation in finance and macroeconomics: A review of new experimental evidence

T Bao, C Hommes, J Pei - Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, 2021 - Elsevier
This paper reviews the recent development and new findings of the literature on learning-to-
forecast experiments (LtFEs). In general, the stylized finding in the typical LtFEs, namely the …

Central bank communication that works: Lessons from lab experiments

O Kryvtsov, L Petersen - Journal of Monetary Economics, 2021 - Elsevier
The causal effects of central bank communication on economic expectations and their
underlying mechanisms are tested in controlled laboratory experiments. We find that central …

[HTML][HTML] Monetary policy under behavioral expectations: Theory and experiment

C Hommes, D Massaro, M Weber - European Economic Review, 2019 - Elsevier
Expectations play a crucial role in modern macroeconomic models. We consider a New
Keynesian framework under a behavioral model of expectation formation and under rational …

Information frictions across various types of inflation expectations

C Cornand, P Hubert - European Economic Review, 2022 - Elsevier
Understanding how the degree of information frictions varies among economic agents is of
utmost importance for macroeconomic dynamics. We document and compare the frequency …

Should central banks communicate uncertainty in their projections?

R Rholes, L Petersen - Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 2021 - Elsevier
This paper provides original empirical evidence on the emerging practice by central banks
of communicating uncertainty in their inflation projections. We compare the effects of point …

[HTML][HTML] The behavioral economics of currency unions: Economic integration and monetary policy

A Bertasiute, D Massaro, M Weber - Journal of Economic Dynamics and …, 2020 - Elsevier
We analyze different behavioral models of expectation formation in a multi-country New
Keynesian currency union model. Our analyses yield the following robust results. First …

Coordinating expectations through central bank projections

F Mokhtarzadeh, L Petersen - Experimental economics, 2021 - Springer
Central banks are increasingly communicating their economic outlook in an effort to manage
the public and financial market participants' expectations. We provide original causal …

Monetary policy rules in a non-rational world: A macroeconomic experiment

F Mauersberger - Journal of Economic Theory, 2021 - Elsevier
This paper introduces a learning-to-forecast laboratory experiment based on a New-
Keynesian macroeconomy that is particularly close to the model's microfoundations. In this …

The stabilizing effects of publishing strategic central bank projections

S Ahrens, J Lustenhouwer… - Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2023 - cambridge.org
Expectations are among the main driving forces for economic dynamics. Therefore,
managing expectations has become a primary objective for monetary policy seeking to …