Climate change news risk and corporate bond returns

TD Huynh, Y Xia - Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 2021 - cambridge.org
We examine whether climate change news risk is priced in corporate bonds. We estimate
bond covariance with a climate change news index and find that bonds with a higher climate …

Is economic uncertainty priced in the cross-section of stock returns?

TG Bali, SJ Brown, Y Tang - Journal of Financial Economics, 2017 - Elsevier
We investigate the role of economic uncertainty in the cross-sectional pricing of individual
stocks and equity portfolios. We estimate stock exposure to an economic uncertainty index …

The VIX, the variance premium and stock market volatility

G Bekaert, M Hoerova - Journal of econometrics, 2014 - Elsevier
We decompose the squared VIX index, derived from US S&P500 options prices, into the
conditional variance of stock returns and the equity variance premium. We evaluate a …

Forecasting stock returns

D Rapach, G Zhou - Handbook of economic forecasting, 2013 - Elsevier
We survey the literature on stock return forecasting, highlighting the challenges faced by
forecasters as well as strategies for improving return forecasts. We focus on US equity …

Does systemic risk in the financial sector predict future economic downturns?

L Allen, TG Bali, Y Tang - The Review of Financial Studies, 2012 - academic.oup.com
We derive a measure of aggregate systemic risk, designated CATFIN, that complements
bank-specific systemic risk measures by forecasting macroeconomic downturns six months …

Macroeconomic risk and hedge fund returns

TG Bali, SJ Brown, MO Caglayan - Journal of Financial Economics, 2014 - Elsevier
This paper estimates hedge fund and mutual fund exposure to newly proposed measures of
macroeconomic risk that are interpreted as measures of economic uncertainty. We find that …

The effect of uncertainty on the precious metals market: New insights from Transfer Entropy and Neural Network VAR

TLD Huynh - Resources Policy, 2020 - Elsevier
This study employs a fresh perspective to investigate the causal relationship between
uncertainty, measured via the two proxies of Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) and the …

Multifactor models and their consistency with the ICAPM

P Maio, P Santa-Clara - Journal of Financial Economics, 2012 - Elsevier
Can any multifactor model be interpreted as a variant of the Intertemporal CAPM (ICAPM)?
The ICAPM places restrictions on time-series and cross-sectional behavior of state variables …

Aggregate jump and volatility risk in the crosssection of stock returns

M Cremers, M Halling, D Weinbaum - The Journal of finance, 2015 - Wiley Online Library
We examine the pricing of both aggregate jump and volatility risk in the crosssection of
stock returns by constructing investable option trading strategies that load on one factor but …

Is there an intertemporal relation between downside risk and expected returns?

TG Bali, KO Demirtas, H Levy - Journal of financial and quantitative …, 2009 - cambridge.org
This paper examines the intertemporal relation between downside risk and expected stock
returns. Value at Risk (VaR), expected shortfall, and tail risk are used as measures of …