Realized skewness and the short-term predictability for aggregate stock market volatility

Z Zhang, M He, Y Zhang, Y Wang - Economic Modelling, 2021 - Elsevier
Forecasting stock volatility is of great interest to academics and practitioners because
volatility has important implications for many areas such as risk management and portfolio …

Extant linkages between Shanghai crude oil and US energy futures: Insights from spillovers of higher-order moments

AK Banerjee, A Dionisio, A Sensoy, JW Goodell - Energy Economics, 2024 - Elsevier
This study is epicentral to analyzing the impact of futures volatility on portfolio and risk
management, as extant literature indicates the challenges of using economic variables that …

Analyst rating matters for index futures

L Han, X Wei, S Yan, Q Zhang - Journal of Futures Markets, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
Analyst recommendations convey valuable market‐wide information which implies analyst
rating should generate reliable predictability for future market returns. This paper examines …

Revisiting the puzzle of jumps in volatility forecasting: The new insights of high‐frequency jump intensity

H Qu, T Wang, P Shangguan… - Journal of Futures Markets, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
Motivated by the puzzling null impact of high‐frequency‐based jumps on future volatility, this
paper exploits the rich information content in high‐frequency jump intensity with a mark …

Do the impacts of the futures-spot spread and skewness on the interdependence between spot and futures markets differ across regimes and energy commodities …

KL Chang - Applied Economics, 2024 - Taylor & Francis
This paper investigates whether the impacts of the futures-spot spread and skewness on the
interdependence between spot and futures markets differ across regimes (backwardation …

Higher moments matter! Cross‐sectional (higher) moments and the predictability of stock returns

S Stöckl, L Kaiser - Review of Financial Economics, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
In this paper, we investigate the predictive power of signals imputed from the cross‐section
of stock returns—namely cross‐sectional volatility, skewness, and kurtosis—to forecast the …

Can average skewness really predict financial returns? The euro area case

J Annaert, M De Ceuster, J Van Cappellen - Finance Research Letters, 2023 - Elsevier
Abstract Jondeau et al.(2020) find evidence that average stock return skewness predicts
stock market returns. Although this evidence is consistent with asset pricing theory, we are …

On the Relevance of Variances and Correlations for Multi-Factor Investors

TOK Zeissler - Available at SSRN 4634753, 2023 - papers.ssrn.com
This paper hypothesizes that long-short multi-factor investors perceive correlations between
factors as being close to zero. Consequently, they should prioritize factor variances over …

Does COVID-19 Change the Relationship among Taiwan Stock Index Futures, MSCI Morgan Taiwan Index, and Taiwan Stock Price Index?

C Ya-Chuan, LEE Yao-Hsin… - Expert Journal of …, 2021 - economics.expertjournals.com
This paper discusses the changes of Taiwan stock index futures'(TF) return rate before and
during COVID-19, using the nonlinear regression model to compare the differences as the …