Drivers of epidemic dynamics in real time from daily digital COVID-19 measurements

M Kendall, L Ferretti, C Wymant, D Tsallis, J Petrie… - Science, 2024 - science.org
Understanding the drivers of respiratory pathogen spread is challenging, particularly in a
timely manner during an ongoing epidemic. In this work, we present insights that we …

Large-scale real-life implementation of technology-enabled care to maximize hospitals' medical surge preparedness during future infectious disease outbreaks and …

T Sener, W Haenen, P Smits, GH Hans - Frontiers in Public Health, 2023 - frontiersin.org
Hospitals can be overburdened with large numbers of patients with severe infectious
conditions during infectious disease outbreaks. Such outbreaks or epidemics put …

Combining models to generate a consensus effective reproduction number R for the COVID-19 epidemic status in England

H Manley, J Park, L Bevan… - Epidemiology & …, 2024 - cambridge.org
Accepted Manuscript Page 1 This is an Accepted Manuscript for Epidemiology & Infection.
Subject to change during the editing and production process. DOI: 10.1017/S0950268824000347 …

Estimating epidemiological delay distributions for infectious diseases

SW Park, AR Akhmetzhanov, K Charniga, A Cori… - medRxiv, 2024 - medrxiv.org
Understanding and accurately estimating epidemiological delay distributions is important for
public health policy. These estimates directly influence epidemic situational awareness …

[HTML][HTML] Admission screening testing of patients and staff N95 respirators are cost-effective in reducing COVID-19 hospital-acquired infections

F McAndrew, RG Abeysuriya, R Sacks-Davis… - Journal of Hospital …, 2024 - Elsevier
Summary Background Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreaks in acute care
settings can have severe consequences for patients due to their underlying vulnerabilities …

An integral renewal equation approach to behavioural epidemic models with information index

B Buonomo, E Messina, C Panico… - Journal of Mathematical …, 2025 - Springer
We propose an integral model describing an epidemic of an infectious disease. The model
is behavioural in the sense that the force of infection includes the information index that …

Estimation of reproduction numbers in real time: conceptual and statistical challenges

L Pellis, PJ Birrell, J Blake, CE Overton… - Journal of the Royal …, 2022 - academic.oup.com
The reproduction number R has been a central metric of the COVID-19 pandemic response,
published weekly by the UK government and regularly reported in the media. Here, we …

Combining models to generate consensus medium-term projections of hospital admissions, occupancy and deaths relating to COVID-19 in England

H Manley, T Bayley, G Danelian… - Royal Society …, 2024 - royalsocietypublishing.org
Mathematical modelling has played an important role in offering informed advice during the
COVID-19 pandemic. In England, a cross government and academia collaboration …

Extracting Self-Reported COVID-19 Symptom Tweets and Twitter Movement Mobility Origin/Destination Matrices to Inform Disease Models

C Rosato, RE Moore, M Carter, J Heap, J Harris… - Information, 2023 - mdpi.com
The emergence of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) generated a need to quickly and
accurately assemble up-to-date information related to its spread. In this research article, we …

Time-varying reproduction number estimation: Fusing compartmental models with generalised additive models

I Hall, X Pang, L Pellis, T House, Y Han, N Abdul Aziz… - medRxiv, 2024 - medrxiv.org
The reproduction number, the mean number of secondary cases infected by each primary
case, is a central metric in infectious disease epidemiology, and played a key role in the …