Volatility and correlation forecasting

TG Andersen, T Bollerslev, PF Christoffersen… - Handbook of economic …, 2006 - Elsevier
Volatility has been one of the most active and successful areas of research in time series
econometrics and economic forecasting in recent decades. This chapter provides a selective …

Multivariate stochastic volatility: a review

M Asai, M McAleer, J Yu - Econometric Reviews, 2006 - Taylor & Francis
The literature on multivariate stochastic volatility (MSV) models has developed significantly
over the last few years. This paper reviews the substantial literature on specification …

Dynamic factor models, factor-augmented vector autoregressions, and structural vector autoregressions in macroeconomics

JH Stock, MW Watson - Handbook of macroeconomics, 2016 - Elsevier
This chapter provides an overview of and user's guide to dynamic factor models (DFMs),
their estimation, and their uses in empirical macroeconomics. It also surveys recent …

Bayesian temporal factorization for multidimensional time series prediction

X Chen, L Sun - IEEE Transactions on Pattern Analysis and …, 2021 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Large-scale and multidimensional spatiotemporal data sets are becoming ubiquitous in
many real-world applications such as monitoring urban traffic and air quality. Making …

[图书][B] Time series analysis by state space methods

J Durbin, SJ Koopman - 2012 - books.google.com
This new edition updates Durbin & Koopman's important text on the state space approach to
time series analysis. The distinguishing feature of state space time series models is that …

[图书][B] Markov chain Monte Carlo: stochastic simulation for Bayesian inference

D Gamerman, HF Lopes - 2006 - taylorfrancis.com
While there have been few theoretical contributions on the Markov Chain Monte Carlo
(MCMC) methods in the past decade, current understanding and application of MCMC to the …

Drifts and volatilities: monetary policies and outcomes in the post WWII US

T Cogley, TJ Sargent - Review of Economic dynamics, 2005 - Elsevier
For a VAR with drifting coefficients and stochastic volatilities, we present posterior densities
for several objects that are pertinent for designing and evaluating monetary policy. These …

[图书][B] Time series: modeling, computation, and inference

R Prado, M West - 2010 - taylorfrancis.com
Focusing on Bayesian approaches and computations using simulation-based methods for
inference, Time Series: Modeling, Computation, and Inference integrates mainstream …

Sparse Bayesian infinite factor models

A Bhattacharya, DB Dunson - Biometrika, 2011 - academic.oup.com
We focus on sparse modelling of high-dimensional covariance matrices using Bayesian
latent factor models. We propose a multiplicative gamma process shrinkage prior on the …

High dimensional covariance matrix estimation using a factor model

J Fan, Y Fan, J Lv - Journal of Econometrics, 2008 - Elsevier
High dimensionality comparable to sample size is common in many statistical problems. We
examine covariance matrix estimation in the asymptotic framework that the dimensionality p …