Uncertainty analysis in multi‐sector systems: Considerations for risk analysis, projection, and planning for complex systems

V Srikrishnan, DC Lafferty, TE Wong… - Earth's …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
Simulation models of multi‐sector systems are increasingly used to understand societal
resilience to climate and economic shocks and change. However, multi‐sector systems are …

Usable science for managing the risks of sea‐level rise

RE Kopp, EA Gilmore, CM Little… - Earth's …, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
Sea‐level rise sits at the frontier of usable climate climate change research, because it
involves natural and human systems with long lags, irreversible losses, and deep …

[HTML][HTML] Antarctic Ice Sheet and emission scenario controls on 21st-century extreme sea-level changes

T Frederikse, MK Buchanan, E Lambert… - Nature …, 2020 - nature.com
Abstract Uncertainties in Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) scenarios and
Antarctic Ice Sheet (AIS) melt propagate into uncertainties in projected mean sea-level …

The flexibility gamble: challenges for mainstreaming flexible approaches to climate change adaptation

J Metzger, A Carlsson Kanyama… - … Policy & Planning, 2021 - Taylor & Francis
Adaptive and flexible approaches based on implementing different measures as new
information emerges have been proposed as a way of enabling robustness towards …

A flood damage allowance framework for coastal protection with deep uncertainty in sea level rise

DJ Rasmussen, MK Buchanan, RE Kopp… - Earth's …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Deep uncertainty describes situations when there is either ignorance or disagreement over
(1) models used to describe key system processes and (2) probability distributions used to …

Evaluating Knowledge Gaps in Sea‐Level Rise Assessments From the United States

AJ Garner, SE Sosa, F Tan, CWJ Tan… - Earth's …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
There have been many scientific advances regarding future sea‐level projections, however
it is unclear if these have been transferred to assessment reports used by stakeholders …

[HTML][HTML] Insights from testing a modified dynamic adaptive policy pathways approach for spatial planning at the municipal level

C Carstens, K Mossberg Sonnek, R Räty… - Sustainability, 2019 - mdpi.com
The Dynamic Adaptive Policy Pathways (DAPP) approach has successfully been used to
manage uncertainties in large infrastructure projects. However, the viability of the DAPP …

Robust municipal decision making? A pilot study of applying robust decision making in three Swedish municipalities

M Wester - Journal of Environmental Planning and Management, 2022 - Taylor & Francis
The growing understanding of the increased frequency and severity of extreme weather
events due to climate change demands action. Locally, measures to adapt must be taken …

Getting adaptation right–challenges and ethical issues facing planners adapting to sea level rise in southern Sweden

A Wedin - Local Environment, 2021 - Taylor & Francis
Sea level rise (SLR) caused by climate change presents challenges for public planners all
over the world. In this study, practical challenges and ethical factors in adaptation to SLR …

[HTML][HTML] A value sensitive scenario planning method for adaptation to uncertain Future Sea level rise

A Wedin, P Wikman–Svahn - Science and Engineering Ethics, 2021 - Springer
Value sensitive design (VSD) aims at creating better technology based on social and ethical
values. However, VSD has not been applied to long-term and uncertain future …