12. Survey expectations and forecast uncertainty

TE Clark, E Mertens - … of Research Methods and Applications in …, 2024 - books.google.com
In recent decades, the collection and analysis of survey expectations for economic variables
has gained considerable attention. While some survey sources provide data back to the …

A New Strategy for Constructing Alternative Consumer Confidence Indexes to Explain Household Consumption: A Fuzzy DEMATEL Approach

Ö Var, A Durmuşoğlu, T Dereli - Heliyon, 2024 - cell.com
Abstract Background Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) is a measure obtained from
consumer surveys (CS) that gauges assessments and expectations of the economic …

What is the Predictive Value of SPF Point and Density Forecasts?

TE Clark, G Ganics, E Mertens - 2022 - papers.ssrn.com
This paper presents a new approach to combining the information in point and density
forecasts from the Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF) and assesses the incremental …

[PDF][PDF] What Is the Predictive Value of SPF Point and Density Forecasts?

G Ganics, E Mertens, TE Clark - 2023 - econstor.eu
This paper presents a new approach to combining the information in point and density
forecasts from the Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF) and assesses the incremental …