Some models are useful, but how do we know which ones? Towards a unified Bayesian model taxonomy

PC Bürkner, M Scholz, ST Radev - Statistic Surveys, 2023 - projecteuclid.org
Probabilistic (Bayesian) modeling has experienced a surge of applications in almost all
quantitative sciences and industrial areas. This development is driven by a combination of …

Random forest, an efficient smart technique for analyzing the influence of soil properties on pistachio yield

J Seyedmohammadi, MN Navidi, A Zeinadini… - Environment …, 2024 - Springer
Pistachio is one of the most important and valuable orchard products in Iran and some other
places in the world. Because it is adaptable to adverse environmental conditions, especially …

Robust and efficient projection predictive inference

Y McLatchie, S Rögnvaldsson, F Weber… - arXiv preprint arXiv …, 2023 - arxiv.org
The concepts of Bayesian prediction, model comparison, and model selection have
developed significantly over the last decade. As a result, the Bayesian community has …

Projection predictive inference for generalized linear and additive multilevel models

A Catalina, PC Bürkner… - … Conference on Artificial …, 2022 - proceedings.mlr.press
Projection predictive inference is a decision theoretic Bayesian approach that decouples
model estimation from decision making. Given a reference model previously built including …

Detecting and diagnosing prior and likelihood sensitivity with power-scaling

N Kallioinen, T Paananen, PC Bürkner… - Statistics and Computing, 2024 - Springer
Determining the sensitivity of the posterior to perturbations of the prior and likelihood is an
important part of the Bayesian workflow. We introduce a practical and computationally …

Risk preferences and risk perception affect the acceptance of digital contact tracing

R Albrecht, JB Jarecki, DS Meier… - Humanities and Social …, 2021 - nature.com
Digital contact-tracing applications (DCTAs) can help control the spread of epidemics, such
as the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic. But people in Western societies fail to install …

A Bayesian approach to analyzing long-term agricultural experiments

JWG Addy, C MacLaren, R Lang - European Journal of Agronomy, 2024 - Elsevier
Effective and flexible statistical analyses are key to getting the most out of long-term
experiments (LTEs). Here, we aim to introduce Bayesian analysis to the wider LTE …

Identifying predictors of clinical outcomes using the projection-predictive feature selection—a proof of concept on the example of Crohn's disease

E Wirthgen, F Weber, L Kubickova-Weber… - Frontiers in …, 2023 - frontiersin.org
Objectives Several clinical disease activity indices (DAIs) have been developed to
noninvasively assess mucosal healing in pediatric Crohn's disease (CD). However, their …

Great ape cognition is structured by stable cognitive abilities and predicted by developmental conditions

M Bohn, J Eckert, D Hanus, B Lugauer… - Nature Ecology & …, 2023 - nature.com
Great ape cognition is used as a reference point to specify the evolutionary origins of
complex cognitive abilities, including in humans. This research often assumes that great ape …

Novel phylogenetic methods reveal that resource-use intensification drives the evolution of “complex” societies

E Ringen, JS Martin, A Jaeggi - 2021 - ecoevorxiv.org
Explaining the rise of large, sedentary populations, with attendant expansions of socio-
political hierarchy and labor specialization (collectively referred to as “societal complexity”) …