The challenges of modeling and forecasting the spread of COVID-19

AL Bertozzi, E Franco, G Mohler… - Proceedings of the …, 2020 - National Acad Sciences
The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has placed epidemic modeling at the
forefront of worldwide public policy making. Nonetheless, modeling and forecasting the …

Identifying genetic markers of adaptation for surveillance of viral host jumps

KM Pepin, S Lass, JRC Pulliam, AF Read… - Nature Reviews …, 2010 - nature.com
Adaptation is often thought to affect the likelihood that a virus will be able to successfully
emerge in a new host species. If so, surveillance for genetic markers of adaptation could …

How absolute is zero? An evaluation of historical and current definitions of malaria elimination

JM Cohen, B Moonen, RW Snow, DL Smith - Malaria Journal, 2010 - Springer
Decisions to eliminate malaria from all or part of a country involve a complex set of factors,
and this complexity is compounded by ambiguity surrounding some of the key terminology …

Superspreading and the effect of individual variation on disease emergence

JO Lloyd-Smith, SJ Schreiber, PE Kopp, WM Getz - Nature, 2005 - nature.com
Population-level analyses often use average quantities to describe heterogeneous systems,
particularly when variation does not arise from identifiable groups,. A prominent example …

Genomic infectious disease epidemiology in partially sampled and ongoing outbreaks

X Didelot, C Fraser, J Gardy… - Molecular biology and …, 2017 - academic.oup.com
Genomic data are increasingly being used to understand infectious disease epidemiology.
Isolates from a given outbreak are sequenced, and the patterns of shared variation are used …

Network theory and SARS: predicting outbreak diversity

LA Meyers, B Pourbohloul, MEJ Newman… - Journal of theoretical …, 2005 - Elsevier
Many infectious diseases spread through populations via the networks formed by physical
contacts among individuals. The patterns of these contacts tend to be highly heterogeneous …

Seasonal infectious disease epidemiology

NC Grassly, C Fraser - … of the Royal Society B: Biological …, 2006 - royalsocietypublishing.org
Seasonal change in the incidence of infectious diseases is a common phenomenon in both
temperate and tropical climates. However, the mechanisms responsible for seasonal …

[图书][B] Epidemics: models and data using R

ON Bjørnstad - 2022 - books.google.com
This book is designed to be a practical study in infectious disease dynamics. It offers an easy-
to-follow implementation and analysis of mathematical epidemiology. It focuses on recent …

Contact network epidemiology: Bond percolation applied to infectious disease prediction and control

L Meyers - Bulletin of the American Mathematical Society, 2007 - ams.org
Mathematics has long been an important tool in infectious disease epidemiology. I will
provide a brief overview of compartmental models, the dominant framework for modeling …

Mathematical modelling, simulation, and optimal control of the 2014 Ebola outbreak in West Africa

A Rachah, DFM Torres - Discrete dynamics in nature and …, 2015 - Wiley Online Library
The Ebola virus is currently one of the most virulent pathogens for humans. The latest major
outbreak occurred in Guinea, Sierra Leone, and Liberia in 2014. With the aim of …