[HTML][HTML] Communicating model uncertainty for natural hazards: A qualitative systematic thematic review

EEH Doyle, DM Johnston, R Smith, D Paton - International journal of …, 2019 - Elsevier
Natural hazard models are vital for all phases of risk assessment and disaster management.
However, the high number of uncertainties inherent to these models is highly challenging for …

Possible climate change/variability and human impacts, vulnerability of drought-prone regions, water resources and capacity building for Africa

TY Gan, M Ito, S Hülsmann, X Qin, XX Lu… - Hydrological …, 2016 - Taylor & Francis
This review article discusses the climate, water resources and historical droughts of Africa,
drought indices, vulnerability, impact of global warming and land use for drought-prone …

[HTML][HTML] Probabilistic weather prediction with an analog ensemble

L Delle Monache, FA Eckel, DL Rife… - Monthly Weather …, 2013 - journals.ametsoc.org
Probabilistic Weather Prediction with an Analog Ensemble in: Monthly Weather Review
Volume 141 Issue 10 (2013) Jump to Content Jump to Main Navigation Logo Logo Logo Logo …

[HTML][HTML] Seasonal forecast skill of ENSO teleconnection maps

NJL Lenssen, L Goddard, S Mason - Weather and Forecasting, 2020 - journals.ametsoc.org
Seasonal Forecast Skill of ENSO Teleconnection Maps in: Weather and Forecasting Volume 35
Issue 6 (2020) Jump to Content Jump to Main Navigation Logo Logo Logo Logo Logo Logo …

[HTML][HTML] Understanding public hurricane evacuation decisions and responses to forecast and warning messages

RE Morss, JL Demuth, JK Lazo… - Weather and …, 2016 - journals.ametsoc.org
Understanding Public Hurricane Evacuation Decisions and Responses to Forecast and
Warning Messages in: Weather and Forecasting Volume 31 Issue 2 (2016) Jump to Content …

[HTML][HTML] Future observing system simulation experiments

RN Hoffman, R Atlas - Bulletin of the American Meteorological …, 2016 - journals.ametsoc.org
As operational forecast and data assimilation (DA) systems evolve, observing system
simulation experiment (OSSE) systems must evolve in parallel. Expected development of …

[HTML][HTML] FACETs: A proposed next-generation paradigm for high-impact weather forecasting

LP Rothfusz, R Schneider, D Novak… - Bulletin of the …, 2018 - journals.ametsoc.org
Abstract Recommendations by the National Research Council (NRC), the National Institute
of Standards and Technology (NIST), and Weather-Ready Nation workshop participants …

A Bayesian‐based system to assess wave‐driven flooding hazards on coral reef‐lined coasts

SG Pearson, CD Storlazzi… - Journal of …, 2017 - Wiley Online Library
Many low‐elevation, coral reef‐lined, tropical coasts are vulnerable to the effects of climate
change, sea level rise, and wave‐induced flooding. The considerable morphological …

The challenge of integrating offshore wind power in the US electric grid. Part I: Wind forecast error

CL Archer, HP Simão, W Kempton, WB Powell… - Renewable energy, 2017 - Elsevier
The purpose of this two-part study is to model the effects of large penetrations of offshore
wind power into a large electric system using realistic wind power forecast errors and a …

[HTML][HTML] Communicating probability information in weather forecasts: Findings and recommendations from a living systematic review of the research literature

J Ripberger, A Bell, A Fox, A Forney… - Weather, Climate …, 2022 - journals.ametsoc.org
Probabilistic forecast information is rapidly spreading in the weather enterprise. Many
scientists agree that this is a positive development, but incorporating probability information …