Forecasting binary outcomes in soccer

R Mattera - Annals of Operations Research, 2023 - Springer
Several studies deal with the development of advanced statistical methods for predicting
football match results. These predictions are then used to construct profitable betting …

Competitive intensity and industry performance of professional sports

JP Guironnet - Economic Modelling, 2023 - Elsevier
This paper discusses if an unbalanced league can lead to higher total revenues from
attendance than a balanced league even though, theoretically, one expects the latter to be …

Evaluating probabilistic forecasts of football matches: the case against the ranked probability score

E Wheatcroft - Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, 2021 - degruyter.com
A scoring rule is a function of a probabilistic forecast and a corresponding outcome used to
evaluate forecast performance. There is some debate as to which scoring rules are most …

On skill and chance in sport

P Scarf, A Khare, N Alotaibi - IMA Journal of Management …, 2022 - academic.oup.com
This work studies outcome uncertainty and competitive balance from a broad perspective. It
considers four sports with varying scoring rates, from soccer with typically three goals per …

Data science approach to simulating the FIFA World Cup Qatar 2022 at a website in tribute to Maradona

A Álvarez, A Cataldo, G Durán, M Durán, P Galaz… - Computational …, 2024 - Springer
This article documents the authors' experience developing an Argentinean website in tribute
to Diego Maradona (301060. exactas. uba. ar) that leverages the popularity of football in …

A new xG model for football analytics

M Cefis, M Carpita - Journal of the Operational Research Society, 2024 - Taylor & Francis
The aim of this exploratory study is to refine and improve, in terms of prediction performance,
the expected goal (xG) model, one of the emerging tools in the field of football analytics. With …

Predicting English Premier League Matches Using Machine Learning and Conditional Probability

M Mutila - 2023 - 41.63.8.17
This research addresses the continuous challenge of accurately predicting football match
outcomes, which is crucial for the sports betting sector's profitability and reliability …

[HTML][HTML] What If the Forecaster Knew? Assessing Forecast Reliability via Simulation

M Inacio, R Izbicki, D Lopes, MA Diniz… - … in Computational and …, 2022 - SciELO Brasil
ABSTRACT The FIFA Men's World Cup (FWC) is the most important football (soccer)
competition, attracting worldwide attention. A popular practice among football fans in Brazil …

Wisdom of the crowds forecasting the 2018 FIFA Men's World Cup

MHA Inácio, R Izbicki, DL Lopes, LE Salasar… - arXiv preprint arXiv …, 2020 - arxiv.org
The FIFA Men's World Cup Tournament (WCT) is the most important football (soccer)
competition, attracting worldwide attention. A popular practice among football fans in Brazil …

[引用][C] Penerapan Distribusi Poisson Bivariat pada Data Jumlah Gol Hasil Pertandingan Sepak Bola Liga 1 Indonesia Tahun 2018-2019

AS Nuri, AK Mutaqin - Bandung Conference Series: Statistics, 2023