Evolution of COVID-19 pandemic: Power-law growth and saturation
In this paper, we analyze the real-time infection data of COVID-19 epidemic for 21 nations
up to April 20, 2020. We observe that China, South Korea, Australia, Hong Kong, and …
up to April 20, 2020. We observe that China, South Korea, Australia, Hong Kong, and …
Scaling features in the spreading of COVID-19
Since the outbreak of COVID-19, many data analyses have been done. Some of them are
based on the classical epidemiological approach that assumes an exponential growth, but a …
based on the classical epidemiological approach that assumes an exponential growth, but a …
Comparative analysis of early dynamic trends in novel coronavirus outbreak: A modeling framework
H Lin, W Liu, H Gao, J Nie, Q Fan - medRxiv, 2020 - medrxiv.org
Background The 2019 coronavirus disease (COVID-19) represents a significant public
health threat globally. Here we describe efforts to compare epidemic growth, size and …
health threat globally. Here we describe efforts to compare epidemic growth, size and …
Dynamics of COVID-19 epidemics: SEIR models underestimate peak infection rates and overestimate epidemic duration
A Grant - MedRxiv, 2020 - medrxiv.org
Compartment models of infectious diseases, such as SEIR, are being used extensively to
model the COVID-19 epidemic. Transitions between compartments are modelled either as …
model the COVID-19 epidemic. Transitions between compartments are modelled either as …
Theoretical epidemic laws based on data of COVID-19 pandemic
J Guo - medRxiv, 2020 - medrxiv.org
The standard growth model of epidemic evolution such as the Richards generalized logistic
function is remarkably successful because it agrees with almost all previous epidemic data …
function is remarkably successful because it agrees with almost all previous epidemic data …
COVID-19 epidemics monitored through the logarithmic growth rate and SIR model
T Konishi - medRxiv, 2021 - medrxiv.org
Background The SIR model is often used to analyse and forecast the expansion of an
epidemic. In this model, the number of patients exponentially increases and decreases …
epidemic. In this model, the number of patients exponentially increases and decreases …
Short-term predictions of country-specific Covid-19 infection rates based on power law scaling exponents
HM Singer - arXiv preprint arXiv:2003.11997, 2020 - arxiv.org
The number of corona virus (COVID-19) infections grows worldwide. In order to create short
term predictions to prepare for the extent of the global pandemic we analyze infection data …
term predictions to prepare for the extent of the global pandemic we analyze infection data …
Super-spreading events initiated the exponential growth phase of COVID-19 with ℛ0 higher than initially estimated
M Kochańczyk, F Grabowski… - Royal Society open …, 2020 - royalsocietypublishing.org
The basic reproduction number R 0 of the coronavirus disease 2019 has been estimated to
range between 2 and 4. Here, we used an SEIR model that properly accounts for the …
range between 2 and 4. Here, we used an SEIR model that properly accounts for the …
The generalized-growth modeling of COVID-19
Y Wu, L Zhang, W Cao, X Liu, X Feng - Frontiers in Physics, 2021 - frontiersin.org
The global spread of the COVID-19 pandemic is changing everything in 2020. It is of crucial
importance to characterize the growth patterns during the transmission. In this paper, a …
importance to characterize the growth patterns during the transmission. In this paper, a …
A Numerical Study of the Current COVID-19 Spread Patterns in India, the USA and the World
HK Baruah - MedRxiv, 2020 - medrxiv.org
In this article, we are going to study the current COVID-19 spread patterns in India and the
United States. We are interested to show how the daily increase in the total number of cases …
United States. We are interested to show how the daily increase in the total number of cases …