Evolution of COVID-19 pandemic: Power-law growth and saturation

S Chatterjee, A Asad, B Shayak, S Bhattacharya… - medRxiv, 2020 - medrxiv.org
In this paper, we analyze the real-time infection data of COVID-19 epidemic for 21 nations
up to April 20, 2020. We observe that China, South Korea, Australia, Hong Kong, and …

Scaling features in the spreading of COVID-19

M Li, J Chen, Y Deng - arXiv preprint arXiv:2002.09199, 2020 - arxiv.org
Since the outbreak of COVID-19, many data analyses have been done. Some of them are
based on the classical epidemiological approach that assumes an exponential growth, but a …

Comparative analysis of early dynamic trends in novel coronavirus outbreak: A modeling framework

H Lin, W Liu, H Gao, J Nie, Q Fan - medRxiv, 2020 - medrxiv.org
Background The 2019 coronavirus disease (COVID-19) represents a significant public
health threat globally. Here we describe efforts to compare epidemic growth, size and …

Dynamics of COVID-19 epidemics: SEIR models underestimate peak infection rates and overestimate epidemic duration

A Grant - MedRxiv, 2020 - medrxiv.org
Compartment models of infectious diseases, such as SEIR, are being used extensively to
model the COVID-19 epidemic. Transitions between compartments are modelled either as …

Theoretical epidemic laws based on data of COVID-19 pandemic

J Guo - medRxiv, 2020 - medrxiv.org
The standard growth model of epidemic evolution such as the Richards generalized logistic
function is remarkably successful because it agrees with almost all previous epidemic data …

COVID-19 epidemics monitored through the logarithmic growth rate and SIR model

T Konishi - medRxiv, 2021 - medrxiv.org
Background The SIR model is often used to analyse and forecast the expansion of an
epidemic. In this model, the number of patients exponentially increases and decreases …

Short-term predictions of country-specific Covid-19 infection rates based on power law scaling exponents

HM Singer - arXiv preprint arXiv:2003.11997, 2020 - arxiv.org
The number of corona virus (COVID-19) infections grows worldwide. In order to create short
term predictions to prepare for the extent of the global pandemic we analyze infection data …

Super-spreading events initiated the exponential growth phase of COVID-19 with ℛ0 higher than initially estimated

M Kochańczyk, F Grabowski… - Royal Society open …, 2020 - royalsocietypublishing.org
The basic reproduction number R 0 of the coronavirus disease 2019 has been estimated to
range between 2 and 4. Here, we used an SEIR model that properly accounts for the …

The generalized-growth modeling of COVID-19

Y Wu, L Zhang, W Cao, X Liu, X Feng - Frontiers in Physics, 2021 - frontiersin.org
The global spread of the COVID-19 pandemic is changing everything in 2020. It is of crucial
importance to characterize the growth patterns during the transmission. In this paper, a …

A Numerical Study of the Current COVID-19 Spread Patterns in India, the USA and the World

HK Baruah - MedRxiv, 2020 - medrxiv.org
In this article, we are going to study the current COVID-19 spread patterns in India and the
United States. We are interested to show how the daily increase in the total number of cases …